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23/07

Adviser confidence in global economy has hit a 12 month low

Financial advisers’ sentiment towards the state of the global economy turned negative in Q2 across all regions surveyed, with confidence levels falling to a below average score of 4.9 out of 10.  This is the lowest score recorded in the last 12 months, according to the International Adviser Confidence Barometer conducted by Skandia International, the offshore business of Old Mutual Wealth Management. 

The Eurozone crisis resulted in European and UK advisers both reporting a sharp drop in confidence levels, with those based in the UK noting the biggest decline, averaging a score of just 4.8 out of 10 – down from 5.5 last quarter.

Europe and UK also reported below average confidence in their local economies compared to advisers in Asia who are significantly more confident in their local economies than the global economy.  Advisers in Singapore report the highest confidence levels with a score of 6.8 out of 10.

This sentiment is reflected in advisers’ confidence in asset classes with Emerging Asia Equities being most likely to deliver the best investment returns over the next year.  Other Emerging Markets Equities was the second most popular investment sector followed by North American equities.

Continuing volatility and the unpredictable behaviour of the global stock markets in Q2 also affected investor behaviour with over half the financial advisers surveyed reporting that their clients had become more risk averse and invested less during the period. As in the previous quarter, the European Debt crisis was cited as the biggest threat to economic growth with almost three quarters of advisers sharing this view.  Rising unemployment and government spending cuts were considered the next most likely factors to contribute to further stalling economic growth.    

Phil Oxenham, marketing manager at Skandia International, comments on the findings:Phil Oxenham

“Overall, these findings reflect the current subdued state of the world’s major economies.  However, it is encouraging to see that advisers in Singapore remain upbeat about the prospects of their economic region.  Clearly, the fears of global contagion and the continued instability within the Eurozone are troubling investors far and wide, including in Singapore - despite the healthy state of their region.  However, it is important to recognise that depressed markets create investment opportunities which can reward those willing to accept some short term volatility.”

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Old Mutual Wealth, comprising Skandia* and Old Mutual Global Investors, provides wealth management solutions such as investments, pensions and life assurance to help financial advisers manage their clients’ wealth. The business currently oversees £74.5 billion in customer investments (as at 31 March 2013) and has operations in the UK, Continental Europe and various international markets. Its strategy is to combine asset management with product and platform expertise, in order to grow further as a modern, integrated wealth management business that enables positive futures for its customers.

Old Mutual Wealth is a core part of Old Mutual plc, a leading international long-term savings, investment and protection Group. Based in London, it is trusted by more than 14 million customers across the world. For over 167 years, it has been serving the growing insurance and investment needs of local customers, companies and their advisers. Old Mutual’s vision is to become its customers’ most trusted partner, being passionate about helping them achieve their lifetime financial goals. At 31 March 2013, the Old Mutual Group held £288.4bn of client assets under management. 

*On 21 March 2012 Old Mutual plc sold the Skandia businesses in Sweden, Norway and Denmark to Skandia Liv. All Skandia businesses and their customers outside of Sweden, Norway and Denmark are unaffected by this transaction. These businesses continue to be owned by Old Mutual and operate under the Skandia brand.

This press release is for journalists only and should not be relied upon by financial advisers or customers.